Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Live Score, Playing 11, Toss Update & Match Prediction

Cricket fans across India, Australia, and South Asia are gearing up for one of the Big Bash League’s most anticipated clashes. The Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades match on January 12, 2026, at Sydney Showground Stadium promises explosive T20 action, nail-biting finishes, and high-stakes moments. Whether you’re tracking sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades live score, checking sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades playing 11, waiting for sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades toss update, or seeking the best sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades match prediction, this comprehensive guide has you covered.​

This thu vs ren live score today preview goes beyond basic stats. You’ll find detailed thu vs ren playing xi today predictions, thu vs ren dream11 prediction tips, thu vs ren fantasy tips today, pitch analysis, head-to-head records, and betting strategies. For Indian bettors, we’ll cover sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades live streaming in india options and the best cricket betting app platforms. Ready to dive into this sydney thunder vs melbourne renegades today match? Let’s explore why this BBL fixture matters.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades: Complete Match Overview

The Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades encounter marks Match 33 of the Big Bash League 2025-26 season. Scheduled for Sunday, January 12, 2026, the match starts at 1:45 PM IST (7:15 AM AEDT) at Sydney Showground Stadium. This timing makes it perfect for Indian morning viewers while offering prime evening entertainment for Australian fans.​

Current League Standings & Context

Team	Position	Played	Won	Lost	Points	NRR
Sydney Thunder	8th	7	1	6	2	-0.45 ​
Melbourne Renegades	6th	6	3	3	6	+0.12

Both teams desperately need points. Thunder’s lone victory came against Renegades themselves on December 30, 2024. A loss here could mathematically eliminate Thunder from playoffs while boosting Renegades’ top-four aspirations.

Why This Match Matters for Bettors

1. David Warner Uncertainty: Thunder captain’s knee injury creates volatile odds
2. Josh Brown’s Form: Renegades opener’s 270+ runs at 150+ SR
3. Bowling Matchup: Tom Rogers vs Lockie Ferguson battle
4. Live Betting Opportunities: Powerplay swings, middle-overs consolidation
5. Fantasy Cricket Impact: Dream11 captaincy decisions critical

Platforms offering live cricket betting, cricket betting exchange, and best cricket betting app services will see heavy action. Odds already shifting based on Warner’s fitness reports.​

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head: Complete Records

Head-to-head data reveals crucial patterns for match prediction:

Overall Head-to-Head Statistics

Category	Matches	Thunder Wins	Renegades Wins	Tie/No Result
Total BBL	16	7 (43.75%)	9 (56.25%)	0 ​
Sydney Venue	8	4	4	0
Melbourne Venue	6	2	4	0
Neutral Venue	2	1	1	0

Recent Head-to-Head Results (Last 5 Matches)

1. Dec 30, 2024 – Sydney Showground: Thunder won by 8 runs (Thunder 156/4, Renegades 148/8)
2. Jan 2024 – Melbourne: Renegades won by 30 runs
3. Dec 2023 – Sydney: Thunder won by 5 wickets
4. Jan 2023 – Melbourne: Renegades won by 16 runs
5. Dec 2022 – Sydney: Thunder won by 4 wickets

Key Insight: Thunder unbeaten in last 2 home games vs Renegades. Renegades dominate away record but struggle chasing at Sydney.​

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades: Expected Playing 11 & Team News

Sydney Thunder Predicted XI

No.	Player	Role	Recent Stats	Betting Relevance
1	David Warner (c)	Opener	130* vs HBH, 82 vs BRH	Match-winner odds shift dramatically ​
2	Matthew Gilkes	Opener	30+ vs Stars (DLS)	Powerplay runs
3	Sam Billings (wk)	Middle	200+ BBL runs	Anchor role
4	Sherfane Rutherford	Middle	WI power-hitter	6s specialist
5	Nic Maddinson	Middle	30 vs HBH	Home specialist
6	Chris Green	All-rounder	4 overs economy 7.5	Spin control
7	Daniel Sams	All-rounder	Death bowling	Wicket-taker
8	Lockie Ferguson	Pacer	Express pace	Powerplay threat
9	Tanveer Sangha	Spinner	Wrist-spin variety	Middle overs
10	Wes Agar	Pacer	4 wickets vs REN previously	Death specialist
11	Tom Andrews	Pacer	Emerging talent	Backup option

Injury Update: David Warner knee injury from Brisbane Heat match. Expected to play but monitor toss for confirmation. If unavailable, Gilkes captains.​

Impact Sub: Oliver Davies (batter) or Blake Macdonald (spinner).

Melbourne Renegades Predicted XI

No.	Player	Role	Recent Stats	Betting Relevance
1	Josh Brown	Opener	270+ runs @ 150+ SR ​	Top run-scorer favorite
2	Tim Seifert (wk)	Opener	190 runs	Steady partner
3	Muhammad Rizwan	Middle	Chase specialist	Innings builder
4	Jake Fraser-McGurk	Middle	Young talent	X-factor
5	Caleb Jewell	Middle	Consistent	Middle anchor
6	Will Sutherland (c)	All-rounder	Leadership role	Balance
7	Harry Dixon	Middle	Building form	Finisher
8	Tom Rogers	Pacer	16 wickets last season ​	Wicket-taker
9	Jason Behrendorff	Pacer	17 wickets last season	Experience
10	Adam Zampa	Spinner	Returning from injury	Middle control
11	Brendan Doggett	Pacer	Death bowling	Yorkers

Team News: Tom Rogers fully fit after shoulder recovery. Jason Behrendorff strengthens pace attack. Adam Zampa returns from early-season injury.​

Sydney Showground Stadium: Detailed Pitch Report

Pitch Characteristics Analysis

Phase	Behavior	Advantage	Average Runs
Powerplay (1-6)	Good bounce, true pace	Batters	42.5 ​
Middle (7-15)	Slows gradually	Spinners	55-60
Death (16-20)	Grips, lower bounce	Bowlers	35-40

Key Stats:

• 48.5% teams win batting first
• 48.5% teams win chasing
• Average 1st innings: 146.5 (2024)
• Highest team total: 182/5
• Lowest defended: 142/8

Weather Forecast (Jan 12): 26°C, 40% humidity, light winds, 0% rain chance. Perfect conditions.​

Toss Strategy: Minimal advantage. Prioritize team balance over batting/bowling first.

Recent Form & Performance Deep Dive

Sydney Thunder: Last 7 Matches Analysis

Date	Vs	Result	Thunder	Opp	Key Performer
Jan 10	Brisbane Heat	Lost	152/7	156/3	Warner 82 (injured) ​
Jan 6	Adelaide Strikers	Lost	134	135/4	Warner 67
Jan 3	Hobart Hurricanes	Lost	168	169/5	Warner 130*
Jan 1	Melbourne Stars	Won (DLS)	98/2	–	Gilkes 30+
Dec 30, 2024	Melbourne Renegades	Won	156/4	148/8	Warner 86
Dec 27	Perth Scorchers	Lost	120	121/2	–
Dec 24	Sydney Sixers	Lost	145	146/4	–

Strengths: Warner’s genius (when fit), home advantage, Rutherford’s power.
Weaknesses: Bowling collapses, over-reliance on Warner, middle-order fragility.​

Melbourne Renegades: Last 6 Matches

Date	Vs	Result	Renegades	Opp	Key Performer
Jan 9	Melbourne Stars	Lost	142	143/4	Brown 43 ​
Jan 6	Perth Scorchers	Won	168/5	165/7	Brown 80
Jan 3	Hobart Hurricanes	Lost	155	156/4	Brown 80
Dec 31	Brisbane Heat	Won	162/6	158	Brown 80
Dec 30	Sydney Thunder	Lost	148/8	156/4	Evans 40
Dec 27	Adelaide Strikers	Won	145/5	142	–

Strengths: Brown’s consistency, deep pace attack, Rizwan experience.
Weaknesses: Top-order collapse risk, middle-order inexperience.​

Key Players to Watch: Detailed Analysis

1. David Warner (Thunder Captain) – THE X-FACTOR

Season Stats: Highest individual score (130*), 400+ runs already.
Match Impact: Changes Thunder odds from 2.05 to 1.75 if confirmed fit.
Betting: Highest scorer @ 3.50, match-winner @ 4.00.​

2. Josh Brown (Renegades Opener) – FORM MACHINE

BBL 2025-26: 270 runs @ 151 SR, 4 fifties.
Sydney Record: 120+ runs @ 160 SR.
Fantasy Pick: Captaincy favorite for Dream11.​

3. Tom Rogers (Renegades Pacer) – WICKET TAKER

Last Season: 16 wickets @ 7.20 economy.
Powerplay Record: 8 wickets in first 6 overs.
Betting: 2+ wickets @ 3.75.​

4. Muhammad Rizwan (Renegades) – CHASE MASTER

T20I Record: 3,000+ runs @ 125 SR.
Role: Stabilizes after Brown’s aggression.
Value Bet: 30+ runs @ 1.80.

5. Lockie Ferguson (Thunder) – EXPRESS PACE

Top Speed: 150kph+. Death overs specialist.
Recent: 3/22 vs Renegades previously.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades: Expert Match Prediction

Win Probability Breakdown

Scenario	Thunder Win %	Renegades Win %	Reason
Warner Plays	52%	48%	Batting parity
Warner Out	35%	65%	Bowling advantage Renegades
Bat First Wins	48.5%	48.5%	Venue stats ​

Final Prediction: Melbourne Renegades 55% favorites at 1.85 odds. Thunder competitive if Warner plays.

Score Prediction

• Batting First: 152-168
• Chasing: Successful 65% chance under 160
• Total Match Runs: Under 165.5 @ 1.95

Complete Betting Guide & Odds Strategy

Pre-Match Markets

Market	Selection	Odds	Confidence
Match Winner	Melbourne Renegades	1.85	High
Top Batter	Josh Brown	4.50	Very High
Top Bowler	Tom Rogers	5.00	High
1st Innings 140-160	Yes	2.10	Medium

Live Betting Strategy

1. Powerplay (Overs 1-6): Bet over 38.5 if Brown opens
2. Warner Wicket: Back early dismissal @ 2.50+ (pace friendly)
3. Middle Overs: Under runs (pitch slows)
4. Death Overs: Bowler wickets market

Pro Tip: Use cricket betting exchange platforms for better live odds. Cash-out during momentum swings.​

Dream11 Prediction & Fantasy Tips

Dream11 Team for THU vs REN

Captain Choices: Josh Brown / David Warner
Vice-Captain: Tom Rogers / Sam Billings

Grand League Differential: Jake Fraser-McGurk, Wes Agar.

Upcoming Fixtures Impact

Sydney Thunder Schedule:

• Jan 15: vs Perth Scorchers (Away)
• Jan 18: vs Brisbane Heat (Home)
• Jan 21: vs Sydney Sixers (Derby)

Win here = survival. Loss = elimination.

Melbourne Renegades Schedule:

• Jan 15: vs Perth Scorchers (Away)
• Jan 19: vs Melbourne Stars (Derby)
• Jan 22: vs Adelaide Strikers

Momentum builder for top-four push.​

FAQs: All Your Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Questions

Who wins Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades?
Renegades 55% favorites (1.85). Warner fitness decisive.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades live score?
Live updates on Skyexch cricket betting app, Cricket.com.au.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades playing 11?
Warner status key. Full XIs confirmed at toss.

Best betting app for this match?
Skyexch – instant online cricket ID, live streaming, best odds.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades live streaming India?
Skyexch app + official BBL streaming partners.

THU vs REN Dream11 prediction?
Captain: Josh Brown. VC: Tom Rogers.

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Skyexch: 5-min activation, ₹100 minimum deposit.

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